Analysis: The country’s mood is *incredibly* negative right now

Just 16% of Americans said they were “satisfied” with the way things are going in US, according to a new Gallup poll released this week. That’s the lowest point Gallup has measured since the aftermath of the riot at the US Capitol on January 6, 2021. The poll was conducted before the shooting in Texas.

The simple fact is that we are down as a country. High levels of inflation. Year three of the Covid-19 pandemic. Mass shootings on a near-daily basis.

That’s exactly right. People may not follow politics all that closely, but they know that Democrats are in charge at the moment — and, therefore, responsible for the state of the country. (This is, of course, an oversimplification of how much power any one person or party has over the direction of the US. But it’s how politics operates.)

Brenan is right about this too: “The likelihood of a dramatic economic turnaround before November’s congressional elections appears slim, which puts pressure on Democrats to persuade voters to keep them in power despite the nation’s current struggles.”

The Gallup numbers make clear how daunting that challenge is for Biden and his party with just 167 days left before the November election. When the country is down — and we are down right now — people look for change.

The Point: A change election this fall would fall heavily on Democrats. And it’s not immediately clear how they can avoid it.